PolyBet - Prediction Markets
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Prediction markets
24 active markets
· category “AI”
How it works
How to trade
By volume
Closing soon
Newest
Largest Company end of June?
NVIDIA
87%
Alphabet
9%
26 more
$15.3M
Vol.
Jun 30
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$29
64 trading now
Gemini 3.2 released on...?
May 19
99%
May 18
1%
25 more
$573K
Vol.
May 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
Gemini 3.2 released by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$650K
Vol.
Jun 30
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
48 trading now
GPT-5.6 released by...?
July 31
78%
June 30
75%
4 more
$151K
Vol.
Jul 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
51 trading now
Which company has the #1 AI model end of May? (Style Control On)
Anthropic
99%
Google
1%
27 more
$766K
Vol.
May 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
50 trading now
Which company has the best Math AI model end of May?
Google
78%
Anthropic
22%
27 more
$265K
Vol.
May 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$32
48 trading now
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027?
25%
chance
Yes
No
$74K
Vol.
Dec 31
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$102
48 trading now
When will GPT-5.6 be released?
June 15–June 21
32%
Not released by June 28
24%
6 more
$9.7K
Vol.
Jun 28
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$79
50 trading now
Which company has the third best AI model end of June?
Anthropic
67%
Google
27%
27 more
$13K
Vol.
Jun 30
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$37
35 trading now
Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
No IPO by June 30, 2026
99%
600B+
1%
5 more
$1.39M
Vol.
Jun 30
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
Best AI model on May 30? (Style Control Off)
claude-opus-4-6-thinking
60%
Other
24%
7 more
$3.2K
Vol.
May 30
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$42
43 trading now
New Gemini reasoning flagship released by...?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$249K
Vol.
Jun 30
ai
Potential payout
$25
→
$28
47 trading now