PolyBet - Prediction Markets
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Prediction markets
58 active markets
· category “Trump”
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By volume
Closing soon
Newest
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$136.2M
Vol.
May 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
65 trading now
Who will be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
99%
Judy Shelton
1%
33 more
$64.5M
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
65 trading now
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...?
December 31
22%
June 30
7%
2 more
$22.1M
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$116
74 trading now
How many senators will vote for Trump's Fed chair nominee?
No vote by Dec 31/Withdrawn
1%
Yes
No
≤49
1%
Yes
No
$242K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
45 trading now
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$232K
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Trump out as President by May 31?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$3.08M
Vol.
May 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
Trump out as President by June 30?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$5.68M
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
55 trading now
What will happen before Kevin Warsh is confirmed?
US x Iran Ceasefire
99%
New Supreme Leader of Iran
99%
2 more
$736K
Vol.
Oct 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
56 trading now
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$166K
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
54 trading now
Kash Patel out by...?
December 31
59%
June 30
14%
2 more
$1.36M
Vol.
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
65 trading now
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
21%
chance
Yes
No
$1.57M
Vol.
Jun 30
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$119
52 trading now
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
6%
chance
Yes
No
$432K
Vol.
Dec 31
trump
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
46 trading now
