PolyBet - Prediction Markets
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Prediction markets
20 active markets
· category “Iran”
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Iran ceasefire continues through...?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$38.3M
Vol.
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
73 trading now
US x Iran permanent peace deal by...?
December 31
81%
July 31
70%
4 more
$191.2M
Vol.
Dec 31
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
65 trading now
What Iranian demands will Trump agree to by May 31?
Oil Sanction Relief
26%
Unfreeze Iranian Assets
23%
2 more
$6.74M
Vol.
May 31
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$96
68 trading now
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$44.2M
Vol.
Jun 30
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
73 trading now
Israel closes its airspace by...?
June 30
16%
June 15
13%
2 more
$2.95M
Vol.
May 31
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$161
53 trading now
Israeli forces cross the Litani River by June 30?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$781K
Vol.
Jun 30
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
62 trading now
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$2.06M
Vol.
Jun 30
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
63 trading now
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$217K
Vol.
May 31
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
7%
chance
Yes
No
$9.33M
Vol.
Dec 31
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
17%
chance
Yes
No
$837K
Vol.
May 31
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$146
57 trading now
Avg. # of ships transiting Strait of Hormuz end of May?
0-10
72%
10-20
14%
3 more
$611K
Vol.
May 31
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$35
46 trading now
Iran coup attempt by June 30?
10%
chance
Yes
No
$1.30M
Vol.
Jun 30
iran
Potential payout
$25
→
$263
60 trading now
