PolyBet - Prediction Markets
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Prediction markets
19 active markets
· category “Business”
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
0 (0 bps)
66%
1 (25 bps)
19%
11 more
$29.8M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$38
75 trading now
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
SpaceX
84%
xAI
26%
72 more
$2.10M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$30
50 trading now
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair?
2%
chance
Yes
No
$3.35M
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
Which DCMs self-certify sports event contracts by June 30?
CME
99%
LedgerX
99%
7 more
$113K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027?
21%
chance
Yes
No
$55K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$122
50 trading now
AI bubble burst by...?
December 31, 2026
22%
March 31, 2026
1%
1 more
$2.85M
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$115
62 trading now
How many Tesla deliveries in Q2 2026?
400k–425k
26%
375k–400k
21%
7 more
$47K
Vol.
Jun 30
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$98
44 trading now
Will MicroStrategy be margin called in 2026?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$68K
Vol.
Jan 1
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
56 trading now
US bank failure by May 31?
3%
chance
Yes
No
$13K
Vol.
May 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
50 trading now
Which banks will fail by end of 2026?
BMO
11%
Deutsche Bank
8%
17 more
$23K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$234
47 trading now
Which companies will have a #1 AI model by December 31?
Google
82%
OpenAI
42%
12 more
$20K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$31
39 trading now
Will Stripe acquire any part of Paypal in 2026?
56%
chance
Yes
No
$51K
Vol.
Dec 31
business
Potential payout
$25
→
$45
53 trading now
